Struggling to improve your credit? Learn how FICO calculates your risk and the five specific factors you can use to build a better financial reputation.

The credit score is not a moral judgment; it’s a risk prediction tool specifically calculating the probability that you’ll fall 90 days behind on a payment within the next two years.
How do credit score actually work


While many people view a credit score as a general grade for financial health, algorithms like FICO are specifically designed as risk prediction tools. The score calculates the mathematical probability that a borrower will fall at least 90 days behind on a payment within the next two years. It is a snapshot of default risk based on patterns of reliability rather than a moral judgment on a person's character.
Payment history is the most influential factor in a FICO score, accounting for 35% of the total calculation. For an individual with a high score, a single 30-day delinquency represents a massive shift in their established risk profile. The algorithm sees this as a sudden break in a perfect pattern, which statistically increases the likelihood of future defaults, often resulting in a drop of 100 points or more.
Credit utilization, which makes up 30% of a score, is calculated based on the balances reported by banks to the credit bureaus, usually on the statement closing date. If you spend heavily on a card and the bank reports that balance before you pay it off, the algorithm perceives high utilization even if you pay the bill in full a few days later. To manage this, some users pay their balances a few days before the statement closes to ensure a lower balance is reported.
Closing old accounts can actually hurt your score by affecting two different scoring factors. First, it reduces the "Length of Credit History" (15% of the score) by potentially lowering the average age of your accounts. Second, it reduces your total available credit, which can instantly increase your credit utilization ratio. Experts generally recommend keeping old accounts open and using them occasionally to prevent the issuer from closing them for inactivity.
A hard inquiry occurs when a lender pulls your credit report to make a lending decision, such as when you apply for a credit card or mortgage; these can lower your score by a few points. A soft inquiry happens when you check your own score or when a business checks your credit for a background check or pre-approved offer. Soft inquiries have no impact on your credit score, and checking your own report frequently is encouraged to monitor for errors or identity theft.
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